These days I am looking for a new 2nd hand car, and it's got to be
cheap, because I reckon I'll be able to find fuel for it (diesel) for no
more than ten years from now. Diesel may be found for a few more years
than petrol since it can be made from non-fossile sources, however
We may find ways to make petrol and diesel without crude oil, but we'll
still need a substantial amount of energy to do it. And we don't have
that kind of amount of energy right now, and we won't have it in ten years.
The technology and investment needed to get a new way of transporting
goods and people will split this poor world even worse, since the
countries which can afford it will do fine, but all the rest will suffer
badly. However, the oil-independent economies, i.e. the poorest of the
poor, will do just fine, since they often produce their own food, thus
unaffected by not being able to transport stuff around. I think the
"village" will thrive again after being decimated by the "shopping
center economy", where every little village has what is needed.
And of course we'll have to settle for less, much less. And because of
this the planet will have a greater chance of surviving us, as paradoxic
it may sound. If it doesn't kill you, it'll make you stronger, hehe.
We'll surely see some new strange changes in the following decade indeed.
---A---
>> Peak oil is on its way? I'd say it's right here now.
> I agree, but I try not to scare the uninitiated too much. :-) I think
> the next decade or so will be fascinating and scary at the same time.
> Andrew McP
